CMC Markets专栏:纽币测阻位 回撤空间在哪

如之前所预期， 纽币/美元在0.6670附近受到支持再度上行，目前测试重要阻力位置0.6880附近， 在此有短期回撤的可能性，下方潜在的回撤目标可能在0.6752附近。 但长期涨势仍强， 有望突破上涨，上方潜在目标首看0.70整数位置附近。

基本面：

纽币在3月17日FOMC会议后冲高回落，经过调整在昨日美联储主席耶伦加强鸽派口吻后，随美元走弱再次大幅上涨，由于美联储加息进程放缓，美元可能再度进入下行态势。

技术图形一：

时间周期：日线图

技术形态：上升通道

使用技术指标：

• 趋势指标：10日均线、5日均线，黄金分割个延展线
• 随机震荡指标：Stoch随机震荡指标（14,3,3,0.8,0.2）,  MACD（10,25,5）, 相对强弱指数（10,0.8,0.2）

纽币/美元目前在测试日线图上升通道顶部0.6880附近位置（黄金分割延展线100.00%回荡线位置），下方潜在回撤目标在0.6752附近（61.8%）。如果能够顺利突破阻力位置上行，则上方潜在目标在0.7整数位置附近。

随即震荡指标仍均在横盘整理阶段，还无突破迹象。

技术图形二：

时间周期：周线图

技术形态：5浪上行

使用技术指标：

• 趋势指标：保利加通道，
• 随机震荡指标：Stoch随机震荡指标（14,3,3,0.8,0.2）,  MACD（10,25,5）

周线图中纽币/美元目前测试周线图保利加通道顶部附近，潜在阻力位置在0.6880-0.6900的区间，根据5浪原理，有望回调后突破上行，上行的潜在目标为日线图中0.7整数位置附近。

随即震荡指标均显示有短期潜在的上行压力迹象出现。

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Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.co.nz or you can call us on 0800 26 26 27.

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Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。