CMC Markets专栏:欧/美元受阻 回调空间在哪

欧元/美元连续8个交易日在1.1450附近受阻未能突破上行，技术形态有极大的可能性会就此回调，日内回调的潜在位置首看1.1337，然后是1.1134，1.1075。同样，欧元/英镑也出现类似顶部回撤行情，潜在的回调位置受看0.7856，然后是0.7695。

基本面上，由于美联储元自2月份以来持续下行，目前有可能暂停调整，则各大货币对美元也有望冲高回落进入暂时调整期。欧洲央行的货币宽松始终是一致欧元大幅回涨的根本因素，也是目前欧元在重要阻力位置再行受阻的重要原因。

技术图形一：欧元/美元

时间周期：日线图

技术形态：明显的潜在筑顶形态，价格与指标潜在形成熊背离

使用技术指标：

• 趋势指标：10日均线，黄金分割延展线
• 随机震荡指标：Stoch随机震荡指标（14,3,3,0.8,0.2）,  MACD（10,25,5）

欧元/美元日线图出现明显的潜在筑顶迹象，目前受压于10日均线，有望由此回调，并且指标Stoch与价格出现潜在熊背离形态。下放潜在回撤目标受看1.1337，然后是1.1134，1.1075。

技术指标中MACD随即震荡指标出现潜在向下交叉的“死亡交叉”潜在空头信号。

技术图形二：欧元/英镑

时间周期：日线图

技术形态：潜在筑顶

使用技术指标：

• 趋势指标：5日均线，10日均线，黄金分割线
• 随机震荡指标：Stoch随机震荡指标（14,3,3,0.8,0.2） , 相对强弱指数（10,0.7,0.3）

欧镑出现类似于欧美的技术形态，目前5日均线与10日均线有形成死叉的可能性，并且随机震荡指标Stoch同样出现熊背离，下放前在回撤位置收看0.7856, 然后是0.7695。

技术指标MACD潜在向下交叉。

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Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.co.nz or you can call us on 0800 26 26 27.

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Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。