CMC Markets专栏：如何在大跌之后寻找道指的反弹机会？

在昨日道琼斯指数大跌近600点后，今日出现小幅反弹，这是否预示着此时将是反弹的开始？基本面上，美国加息虽履历羁绊，但势在必行，将会对美国股市有持续的施压影响；在技术形态上来看，机会亦较小，真正的反弹趋势仍需静待观望。
 
从道琼斯指数30的月线图上看，昨日的大幅下跌已经跌破了长期的上升通道的底部趋势线，并已经对从2009年3月份低点至今年5月份高点向上拉伸的黄金分割线23.6%回荡线的位置进行过测试，目前受到支持向上有小幅度的反弹。日内反弹的目标很有可能在月线图上升趋势线附近的位置，同时也是日线图保利加通道底端的位置，这个空间大概在16400-16600的范围内。继续向下突破的可能性很大，如果能够突破昨日低点的支持位置15300附近的位置，则道琼斯指数30将有可能继续下探另一支持位置13800附近，此位置正是月线图中250天均线的支撑位置，同时也是黄金分割线回荡线38.2%的位置。在市场逐步从震荡期恢复到正常状态后，道琼斯指数的中长期盘整位置很可能在13800-15300的这个区间进行盘整。

Author ：CMC Markets, Tina Teng

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