CMC Markets专栏: 纽币仍坚挺,短期反弹在望

Author
CMC Markets, Tina Teng

Article
虽然近日新西兰央行行长在新西兰金融体系报告中称风险上行，支柱产业乳品行业呈压与房价修正风险并存。但由于在被问及货币政策时，行长维拉拒绝进行评论。由于对于货币政策并无明确继续降息之表态，在会议之后，纽币未跌反涨，现行于0.6560附近。

技术图形上看，在上周五非农大跌以后，对美元汇率两天坚守支持位置0.65附近，逐步筑出潜在的短期底部，有望继续上探0.6640附近，然后是0.6730。而从长期图形上看，形态仍然显弱，由于周五非农数据影响有跌破其10月份上升趋势的迹象。短期内纽币仍然会是调整形态，下方潜在支持看0.6500，0.6250，0.6100。

日线图

日线图上看，在上周五一根阴柱插穿下降通道底部后连续两天受到支持，今日在央行行长讲话后纽币有反弹上行的迹象，可能再次回到通道中整理运行。上方潜在的阻力位置为0.6640。如果能够突破此位置，进一步上行潜在目标将可能在0.6730附近。

月线图

月线图显示纽币对美元仍然在长期的下行通道中运行，10月份的较为强势的阳柱可以看到多头的强势，但由于10月份美国非农的影响使得此形态有可能被破坏。暂时纽币长期形态没有较明确的方向，上方只有成功上破0.6730才有可能成功筑底。而下方如果突破支持位置0.6500下行，则仍可能再次下探0.6250，然后是0.6100。

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Tina Teng在2015年6月份加入CMC Markets 担任销售与客户培训主管职务，负责亚太地区客户的培训和经济评论的撰写工作。她具有其独树一帜的市场视角和技术分析方法，认为金融市场是集历史，经济，政治，心理学与哲学于一身的学问。技术分析是市场基本面的可视性技术语言；而对于技术性语言的解读与对各国家经济、政治与历史背景分析的结合，与对投资心理状态的理解才会是对金融市场最全面的感知。自2012至2015年，Tina Teng曾任职金融经纪公司客户服务部经理为客户提供外汇差价合约方面的培训工作。此前，自2005年至2009年，她曾经在中国中央电视台广告经济中心任职，负责撰写中国广告经济方面的评论文章，造就了她对于中国经济现状和企业现状有深入的理解和敏锐的洞察力。